South Africa’s agricultural exports reached a record $4.1 billion in the second quarter of 2026, rising 10% year on year as stronger export volumes and improved commodity prices boosted overseas sales.
The latest figures from the Agricultural Business Chamber of South Africa also show a sharp recovery in shipments to the United States, which increased 56% from the first quarter as the effective tariff rate fell from 30% to 12.5%.
Although exports to the US remained below their level a year earlier, the quarterly rebound highlights the sensitivity of agricultural trade to changes in tariffs and market-access conditions. Lower trade barriers are providing South African exporters with greater opportunities in the US market.
South Africa’s export performance continues to be supported by strong demand for citrus, other fruit, nuts and maize. The country has also developed a diversified customer base, with other African markets accounting for 40% of agricultural exports during the quarter.
Regional markets remain particularly important as South African producers seek to reduce dependence on individual overseas destinations. Growing demand across the continent is creating opportunities for exporters while strengthening agricultural trade links within Africa.
Logistics is also playing a critical role. Improved performance at the Port of Cape Town helped support export flows during the quarter, highlighting the importance of efficient ports and transport infrastructure in converting strong agricultural production into international sales.
The strong export performance comes as South Africa harvests a record maize crop in 2026. However, the outlook for the next season could be more challenging if the anticipated El Niño weather pattern results in drier conditions across Southern Africa and reduces agricultural production.
Agricultural Business Chamber chief economist Wandile Sihlobo has warned that rising geopolitical and geo-economic tensions make it increasingly important for South Africa to protect existing export markets while developing new destinations.
For South African agriculture, the combination of market diversification, improved logistics and competitive access to international buyers will remain central to sustaining export growth. With demand and trade policies shifting rapidly, exporters will need to remain flexible as they navigate both global markets and weather-related production risks.